Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1.833650 2.106443 2.409442 2.771560 3.193371 3.670166 4.251321
2025-04-20 1.460907 1.835768 2.294328 2.899432 3.681214 4.662962 5.998295
2025-04-27 1.215571 1.620908 2.149664 2.895655 3.930195 5.327584 7.380667
2025-05-04 1.079909 1.511397 2.104685 2.989326 4.290877 6.160368 9.093883
2025-05-11 0.954495 1.391356 2.019331 3.000854 4.520128 6.821574 10.646712
2025-05-18 0.854806 1.291510 1.944408 3.008587 4.732482 7.472409 12.271370
2025-05-25 0.752534 1.173070 1.823768 2.924228 4.780183 7.859065 13.511722
2025-06-01 0.694076 1.114762 1.787499 2.966475 5.034136 8.610688 15.488418
2025-06-08 0.649229 1.072378 1.770360 3.035490 5.338329 9.484308 17.821181
2025-06-15 0.599675 1.016076 1.722603 3.043338 5.531119 10.179050 19.922457
2025-06-22 0.544662 0.944250 1.639737 2.976682 5.574716 10.595929 21.533080
2025-06-29 0.500674 0.887198 1.576554 2.937818 5.663956 11.108948 23.421475
2025-07-06 0.447597 0.813041 1.483086 2.847385 5.675442 11.541966 25.395514
2025-07-13 0.426021 0.795971 1.496029 2.972414 6.156915 13.059381 30.206320
2025-07-20 0.392288 0.751255 1.449615 2.968812 6.363298 14.015048 33.909605
2025-07-27 0.372900 0.732169 1.451033 3.065041 6.804045 15.579703 39.501364
2025-08-03 0.347358 0.697538 1.416242 3.076886 7.052925 16.737357 44.316232
2025-08-10 0.324209 0.665152 1.382074 3.084832 7.293318 17.918603 49.494775
2025-08-17 0.295760 0.618359 1.311403 2.998157 7.286839 18.468431 52.999808
2025-08-24 0.280234 0.597911 1.296306 3.041563 7.617512 19.973918 59.777548
2025-08-31 0.267983 0.583353 1.292697 3.112474 8.032576 21.794382 68.055935
2025-09-07 0.252527 0.559848 1.265667 3.120538 8.279377 23.186941 75.330390
2025-09-14 0.233694 0.526584 1.211887 3.052050 8.301575 23.923569 80.570244